Decision-makers and managers are increasingly being asked to make decisions in the context of uncertainty, with climate change adding new sources of complexity. Scenario planning is being used as means of providing managers with insights into options for responding appropriately to change in the near and long term. The increasing use of scenario planning prompts some questions, such as:
- What is the state-of-the-art in scenario development?
- How can uncertainty within scenarios be communicated effectively to stakeholders and what types of scenarios are appropriate and beneficial to pursue in a given context?
- In using scenario planning methods: What works where, when, and why?
- How can the effectiveness and utility of scenario planning processes be enhanced in climate adaptation work?
A new website (www.adaptationscenarios.org), initiated by CCASS and the SW CSC, aims to help managers who are interested in learning more about scenario planning and its appropriate and best uses to guide planning to face inevitable climate challenges. The website contains guides, case studies, tools, a directory of experts, and more!